![]() A stochastic proces is a family of random variables indexed by time t. We cannot distinguish any of the samples at time 0. So the signma algebra F1 consists of the two sets: Omega 1, Omega 2 and Omega 3, Omega 4. At t2, the true state of the nature is fully revealed However at t1, we can only tell whether we are in the set, cosisting of Omega 1 and Omega 2 or in the set consisting of Omega 3 and Omega 4. Let's look at following example which consists of a sample set consisting of four samples.p Suppose the probability assigns the same weight to each sample. And F,t represents the information available by time, t. This is an increasing family of sigma algebras indexed by time, t. The flow of information is modeled by a filtration. ![]() The probability measure P, acts on the sigma algebra, caligraphic F and it assigns a probability to any measuble event, A. This is the collection of the so-called measurable events. This is a triple consisting of the set of samples Omega and on this set of samples Omega we have a structure which is called a sigma algebra, which is denoted by a caligraphic F. Random variables are modeled on a probability space. I will also, in this part, give you the basics for pricing options, namely, the Arbitrage pricing theorem We always fix a Stochastic basis. But the good news is, once you acquire the rules of Stochastic calculus, you can engineer any of the following interest rate models. Obviously we cannot go into the mathematical details. That is: Brownian motion, the Stochastic integral Ito formula, the Girsanov theorem. In this first part, I recap the basic notions of Stochastic calculus. Eventually, we will see how these models can be used to price options on bonds. We will then look at short-rate models, where the dynamics of the short-rate is specified and in a second step we'll look at so-called Heath-Jarrow-Morton models, where, the evolution of the entire forward curve is specified, as a Stochastic process. In the first part, I'll provide the basics in Stochastic calculus, that is needed for developing Stochastic interest rate models. ![]() For mathematicians, this book can be used as a first text on stochastic calculus or as a companion to more rigorous texts by a way of examples and exercises.We now consider Stochastic interest rate models. The book covers models in mathematical finance, biology and engineering. Using such structure, the text will provide a mathematically literate reader with rapid introduction to the subject and its advanced applications. It contains many solved examples and exercises making it suitable for self study.In the book many of the concepts are introduced through worked-out examples, eventually leading to a complete, rigorous statement of the general result, and either a complete proof, a partial proof or a reference. ![]() It is also suitable for researchers to gain working knowledge of the subject. It may be used as a textbook by graduate and advanced undergraduate students in stochastic processes, financial mathematics and engineering. Not everything is proved, but enough proofs are given to make it a mathematically rigorous exposition.This book aims to present the theory of stochastic calculus and its applications to an audience which possesses only a basic knowledge of calculus and probability. In biology, it is applied to populations' models, and in engineering it is applied to filter signal from noise. In finance, the stochastic calculus is applied to pricing options by no arbitrage. It also gives its main applications in finance, biology and engineering. This book presents a concise and rigorous treatment of stochastic calculus.
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